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Question: Which is better
Using a stop loss - 2 (100%)
Using a hedge - 0 (0%)
Total Voters: 2

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Author Topic: Daytrading with Consensus  (Read 77396 times)
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Ares
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"Buy high, sell higher or Buy low, sell high"
« Reply #825 on: November 10, 2008, 03:20:20 AM »
UYG daily chart with fanned out (thin) gold descending trendlines.
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« Reply #826 on: November 25, 2008, 06:32:19 AM »
Bearish wolfewave on the VIX?

I'm watching for a possible head and shoulder pattern on the hourly chart.

http://messages.finance.yahoo.com/Stocks_%28A_to_Z%29/Stocks_U/threadview?m=te&bn=58157&tid=197180&mid=197180&tof=8&frt=2

* Wolfewave on VIX.png (40.72 KB, 1006x716 - viewed 131 times.)
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Ares
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« Reply #827 on: November 27, 2008, 11:53:10 PM »
Looking more and more like a gap up on friday for the SPX.

Breaking away from the descending trend line of the daily chart?

* November 27 ES in 4 timeframes.png (48.92 KB, 1076x676 - viewed 116 times.)
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Ares
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« Reply #828 on: December 10, 2008, 06:15:18 AM »
I was fiddling with the moving averages and find the 30sma interesting for the DPX daily chart. ( I usually use 200sma,50sma, and 8ema).

I ususally use RSI2 but for this chart, I used RSI14.

This chart shows RSI14 just recently went above 50 (a signal for swing traders to go long) and is still above 50 so far.

MACD showing positive (bullish) divergence.

* 9.png (29.65 KB, 460x754 - viewed 105 times.)
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Ares
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« Reply #829 on: December 10, 2008, 06:24:48 AM »
Question: Which will get an odd lot (for example: 1 share) out faster? Selling with
Market order  5 (83.3%)
Limit order  1 (16.7%)

Total Voters: 6
 

Thanks to those who participated in the poll. Smiley
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Ares
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« Reply #830 on: December 11, 2008, 08:01:14 AM »
VIX daily chart: Possible pennant formation

http://messages.finance.yahoo.com/Stocks_%28A_to_Z%29/Stocks_U/threadview?m=te&bn=58157&tid=223381&mid=223381&tof=9&frt=1#223381

* VIX.png (30.51 KB, 1006x716 - viewed 94 times.)
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Ares
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« Reply #831 on: December 11, 2008, 08:03:41 AM »
IYF daily chart

* 11.png (30.1 KB, 1006x716 - viewed 106 times.)
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« Reply #832 on: December 13, 2008, 09:12:29 AM »
VIX closed below the green uptrend line and sitting right at the peach uptrend line
point 1 = 44.25
point 2 = 50.50

It looks to have used the peach descending trendline and has not exceeded the high of 58.91 (Dec 10 candle with a low of 53.79).


* VIX below the green uptrend line.png (31.14 KB, 750x716 - viewed 83 times.)
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Ares
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« Reply #833 on: December 13, 2008, 09:17:15 AM »
910 and/or 940 target on the SPX seems to be in consensus with Dan's analysis.

880.16 was exceeded:

http://messages.finance.yahoo.com/Stocks_%28A_to_Z%29/Stocks_U/threadview?m=te&bn=58157&tid=228126&mid=228126&tof=12&frt=1#228126

Daily SPX Charts and some Intermediate market projections (by Daneric40):

http://messages.finance.yahoo.com/Stocks_%28A_to_Z%29/Stocks_U/threadview?m=te&bn=58157&tid=228157&mid=228157&tof=6&frt=1#228157

Attached is my annotation of the 1 minute and 5 minute charts of the SPX:

* 880.16 as wave 1 on the 1 minute chart.png (34.15 KB, 750x716 - viewed 83 times.)

* 940 as target for wave 3.png (36.88 KB, 750x716 - viewed 105 times.)
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« Reply #834 on: December 20, 2008, 09:26:21 AM »
Would it be possible that 741.02 low on the SPX daily chart is already wave 5 (used a 20year/daily setting to get the big picture).

* SPX 20 year daily chart2.png (29.42 KB, 750x716 - viewed 89 times.)

* SPX 20 year daily chart3.png (27.03 KB, 750x716 - viewed 92 times.)

* SPX 20 year daily chart.png (28.61 KB, 750x716 - viewed 89 times.)
« Last Edit: December 20, 2008, 09:30:28 AM by Ares » Logged
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« Reply #835 on: December 20, 2008, 09:34:13 AM »
Here's a possible sideway movement on the SPX daily chart if the rtl (of a possible ascending triangle that seems to be forming on the hourly chart) breaks:

* SPX daily chart2.png (30.87 KB, 750x716 - viewed 79 times.)
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« Reply #836 on: December 20, 2008, 09:37:17 AM »
Here is a possible impulse 1 with abc corrections on the SPX daily chart (zoomed in 20 year/daily chart setting):

Here's a thread that I started at the yahoo message board:

http://messages.finance.yahoo.com/Stocks_%28A_to_Z%29/Stocks_U/threadview?rt=1&bn=58157&tid=240062&mid=240062&tof=7&m=te&so=L&o=lpr&num=20&off=1

* SPX 20 year daily chart4.png (27.17 KB, 750x716 - viewed 84 times.)
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« Reply #837 on: December 21, 2008, 09:01:33 AM »
Quote from: Ares on November 25, 2008, 06:32:19 AM
Bearish wolfewave on the VIX?

I'm watching for a possible head and shoulder pattern on the hourly chart.

http://messages.finance.yahoo.com/Stocks_%28A_to_Z%29/Stocks_U/threadview?m=te&bn=58157&tid=197180&mid=197180&tof=8&frt=2



It's interesting to see that price bounced off the blue line (bearish wolfewave target?) on November 28, 2008 to a high of December 1, 2008.

Friday's low (December 19, 2008) of 41.29 traded below the daily swing low/middle M of 44.25 ( November 4, 2008).

VIX is approaching support areas at:

37.50 = August 16, 2007 high

37.57 = January 22, 2008 high

and getting close to the blue line again.

Will it break below the 37's (because of the middle M break) or will it bounce on the 37's support zone?

----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Thread started on the yahoo SKF board titled: "VIX support approaching"

http://messages.finance.yahoo.com/Stocks_%28A_to_Z%29/Stocks_U/threadview?m=te&bn=58157&tid=240896&mid=240896&tof=1&frt=1#240896

* VIX Daily chart.png (27.31 KB, 750x716 - viewed 56 times.)
« Last Edit: December 21, 2008, 09:12:49 AM by Ares » Logged
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« Reply #838 on: December 22, 2008, 06:42:51 AM »
Here are the most recent blogs added to my favourites (bookmark):

MISH's Global Economic Trend Analysis:

http://globaleconomicanalysis.blogspot.com/2008/12/catch-wave.html

Free Trading Videos:

http://www.freetradingvideos.com/vlog/default.asp?category=1
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« Reply #839 on: December 22, 2008, 07:13:54 AM »
Links and reading material from La-Onda:

http://www.shadowtrader.net/videos/sunday122108st.html

Basics of the Elliott Wave Principle:

http://www.shadowtrader.net/images/Ellliot_for_FX.pdf

Tony Caldarado"s Blog:

http://caldaroew.spaces.live.com/

Thanks again Oliver. Smiley
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