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 - Video Analysis for JADE (2007-03-12)
 I come to the conclusion that historical dilution and the weak balance sheet pose a problem to JADE's long term outlook. Not good enough for the Main Portfolio by David Randolph.
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- GSCT.OB 3 minute look (2007-01-23)
It's a pity the balance sheet is so weak (negative total equity of ($5 M)), because the income statement shows an improving picture, especially over the third quarter. Technicals also look strong over the short term. by David Randolph.
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- ARSC.OB 3 minute look (2007-01-23)
This is a tiny company with lousy fundamentals, losing more than its market cap each quarter. When today's excitement about alternative energy plays goes away, I guess ARSC.OB will just lay down and die, unfortunately. by David Randolph.
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- ESLR 3 minute look (2007-01-23)
Nice technical breakout today, but after all this short term interest on alternative energy passes, fundamentals says it will break down to new lows below $7. ESLR looks overvalued now. by David Randolph.
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- HOLL 3 minute look (2007-01-23)
HOLL isn't interesting from a technical standpoint, but perhaps it can be from a fundamental one. Yet, I couldn't see its attractiveness on this 3 minute look. by David Randolph.
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- NTMD 3 minute look (2007-01-23)
NMTD is a biotech stock, so I urge you not to pay much attention to what I say about it. The chart looks cool, above the 50 days SMA now, and I don't know anything more about it. by David Randolph.
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- XNL 3 minute look (2007-01-23)
Everything ethanol related is up today, on a buy the rumor, sell the news type of trade. I just bought XNL for the 3 Stocks on Fire Portfolio @ $3.16. by David Randolph.
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- CPE 3 minute look (2007-01-23)
Not on fire today, but it certainly looks cheap, as most oil related companies do. I'm neutral on the oil price going forward, I believe supply and demand are equally balanced, so, I don't see much fundamental risk or potential here. by David Randolph.
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- HBSC.OB 3 minute look (2007-01-23)
Up 37.5% already on today's session, so perhaps the news is already priced in. Technically it is banging on the 200 days, so there's high risk here, the stock can fall down 50% without prior notice. by David Randolph.
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- TRMM 3 minute look (2007-01-23)
The chart shows a huge decline from $25 to about $2, so perhaps it is interesting for bottom fishers, but not for me, not for this Portfolio, just 17,000 shares changing hands when I looked at it. by David Randolph.
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- GSEG.OB 3 minute look (2007-01-23)
I see some improvement on the quarterly results, and it looks like it is trading below annual revenues (Price to Sales Ratio is less than 1), but liquidity is extremely low, just $70,000 traded today (despite 42,000,000 changing hands). The stock is up 21% on the session, but not on fire because it is trading at opening levels, so not gathering momentum as the session goes on. by David Randolph.
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- DENN 3 minute look (2007-01-23)
DENN can be a great long term investment, especially if it keeps up with the Q3 2006 performance. It would have been an obvious pick when it reported those results. Not on fire today but I'll definitely keep it for a deeper study on the Premium section of the website. by David Randolph.
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- TGC 3 minute look (2007-01-23)
TGC is perhaps undervalued at current prices (given the value of it's non current assets), but volume is very low today, so not on fire. by David Randolph.
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- NXXI 3 minute look (2007-01-23)
I have an hard time analyzing biotech stocks, but NNXI looks really interesting, because it has some significant sales and the news today seems huge. But still, it is trading much below the open, although it is still up 19% (this means it is losing some momentum throughout the day). I wonder if this news was expected or not, if someone could give me an hand on NXXI ... it might be a great pick, let's gather some more information as the session goes. by David Randolph.
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- AMEP.OB 3 minute look (2007-01-23)
AMEP.OB's land is valued at $20.9 M on the balance sheet, the current market cap is about $30 M and the company has no operations now. Unless there's news I don't see it being on fire. Volume is very low lately, impossible to buy any position, even for the tiny 3 Stocks on Fire Portfolio, because liquidity in dollar terms is extremely low. by David Randolph.
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- UMC 3 minute look (2007-01-23)
UMC is a $12 B plus market cap company, we're looking for smaller companies for some fast moving trades. The intraday momentum looks great, lots of volume and price appreciation, but I also see overhead resistance around $3.80 - $3.90. by David Randolph.
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- 3 minute look on DSTI (2007-01-23)
I guess the recent agreement with note holders is giving hope to DSTI, but I fear more dilution as the company almost doesn't have sales and is losing big more (more than $6 M in Q3) every quarter. They need to start selling and fast, the market won't support it as it does with biotech companies. Anyway, great idea, I hope they survive and can pull it out. by David Randolph.
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- NENG 3 minute look (2007-01-23)
Microsoft news can be significant but the press release lacks details. I don't like it opening so high, the news could have been priced in right at the open.
Still it looks mildly interesting on the fundamental side. by David Randolph.
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- OPBL.OB 3 minute look (2007-01-23)
It has been really on fire for the past couple of months but I think that's over with today's extremely high open. by David Randolph.
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- ARTX 3 minute look (2007-01-22)
I can see the third quarter was much better than the previous two quarters, and that at least partially explains the 200% rise since November's lows. The stock can move further up, the chart is certainly bullish, but I fear a pullback is coming since it is approaching an important long term resistance level around $5. by David Randolph.
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- CECE 3 minute look (2007-01-22)
At first sight CECE is a great stock to own, with both technicals and fundamentals pointing north. I'll consider it for a deeper study and perhaps a longer term investment. It might pullback some though (and that would present a nice buying opportunity), as it is facing a medium term resistance around $13. by David Randolph.
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- SGTL 3 minute look (2007-01-22)
SGTL is not on fire, despite being up 10% or so, because it is trading below the open. The chart is bearish and fundamentals show a worsening picture from 2005, but perhaps that is already discounted since the stock is down from about $45 in 2005 to the current $4.07.
I'm neutral on this stock but I wouldn't buy it right now. by David Randolph.
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- 3 minute look on AAGH.OB (2007-01-22)
When I started studying AAGH.OB it was up about 30%, and I had to buy it up 40% by David Randolph.
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- 3 minute look on HGR (2007-01-22)
HGR was added to the 3 Stocks on Fire Portfolio at $8.76. Not a sexy play, but moving higher today on volume above average and fundamentals look attractive. by David Randolph.
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- 3 minute look on MIVT.OB (2007-01-22)
I don't see the fundamental value and technically the volume is not enough for me to consider it. by David Randolph.
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- ORCH 3 minute look (2007-01-22)
I see a positive fundamental turnaround in ORCH in 2006, so the current bullish trend may continue. But not on fire today, just 69,000 shares traded so far in the session. by David Randolph.
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- 3 minute look on CVDT.OB (2007-01-22)
The chart looks nice, but this is one of the most overvalued stocks I've ever seen, with about $220 M market cap and no relevant revenues. This is a former mining company wanna be, now into VOIP, I don't like that. by David Randolph.
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- 3 minute look on PNTR (2007-01-22)
I know the story, very small cap of about $32 M. I don't consider it on fire today because it opened with a gap up and is fighting with the 50 days SMA (working as a resistance level now). by David Randolph.
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- 3 minute look for SNCR (2007-01-22)
Valuation is rich, almost half a billion market cap now and not on fire over the short term. There's revenue and profit growth but I guess that is already priced in. I always fear dilution when considering recent IPO stocks. by David Randolph.
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- VIP 3 minute look (2007-01-22)
VIP looks like breaking out to new all time high, but this is a $16 B market cap company, we're looking for small cap momentum stocks. by David Randolph.
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- JADE 3 minute look (2007-01-22)
Great stock, looks kind of extended now, up about 50% over the last month or so, but perhaps there's still upside here. I'll have a further look, JADE is a good candidate by David Randolph.
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- ION 3 minute look (2007-01-22)
ION had huge losses over the past 3 quarters, now there's hope of a rescue from a major TV network, but I don't know if that isn't priced in already, seems like it is losing momentum. by David Randolph.
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- 3 minute look on SKNN.OB (2007-01-22)
I had already covered this stock, I'm not a fan of it as you can read on the Penny Stock Picking Board. Now about $72 M market cap and zero sales. Balance sheet is very weak, I fear dilution, and I fear the product won't be so hot, because each pair of skins will cost what, $250? by David Randolph.
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- EFUT 3 minute look (2007-01-22)
I'm undecided on EFUT, the news with JNJ looks big but there are no details. There was a significant gap up at the open with volume above average. I see a resistance level at $39.93.
On the fundamental side I didn't find information for the latest 3 quarters ... and generally I find recent IPO stocks as lousy investments/trades. by David Randolph.
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- SGLF.OB 3 minute look (2007-01-22)
I don't think the news is significant enough. SLGLF.OB has a story of deceiving investors and it still is a $55 M market cap company. Chart is bullish, though. by David Randolph.
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- 3 minute look on LDHI (2007-01-22)
I don't like the news item moving the stock (more exposure to investors doesn't add fundamental value), but explosive volume. by David Randolph.
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- LTS 3 minute look (2007-01-19)
Something is moving the stock, but I couldn't find out what it was on this 3 minute look. Facing important technical resistance here at $1.98. Fundamental trends show a worsening picture. by David Randolph.
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- ENPT 3 minute look (2007-01-19)
I agree, looks ready to breakout but volume is very low today (perhaps because we're on a Friday), just 112,000 shares changing hands so far in the session. The stock made 15 million shares volume in December 1st when it reported quarterly results. We're back to those levels just below $6 but they will probably provide some resistance and ENPT will need much stronger volume to breakout. by David Randolph.
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- HOKU 3 minute look (2007-01-19)
HOKU looks compelling, but their business is very complex and certainly not on fire today. by David Randolph.
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- NIHK.OB 3 minute look (2007-01-19)
Although NIHK.OB is a very small $7.5 M market cap company it looks overvalued, with an 8 times revenue multiple and relevant losses quarter after quarter. by David Randolph.
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- 3 minute look on STXN (2007-01-19)
Well, obviously the stock isn't on fire, at least not today, so here's a more long term video by David Randolph.
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- EXCS.OB 3 minute look (0000-00-00)
We have a winner, EXCS.OB was just bought for the 3 Stocks on Fire Portfolio. Risky play because we don't have all the information (we can never have), but the ingredients are there for a huge run up (already up 128% as we speak). by David Randolph.
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- 3 minute look on DROOY (2007-01-19)
DROOY shows a bearish trend, oversold now, may bounce but there's a lot of overhead resistance. Fundamentals suck too. by David Randolph.
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- 3 minute look for NDN (2007-01-19)
It opened with a big gap up, volume is very strong for this time of the day. I don't like to see a very big gap up after a 20% rise in just 7 days on a $1 B plus market cap company. It looks like the open was a short term top. by David Randolph.
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- IGT Analysis (2007-01-09)
- Technical Analysis is bullish; IGT's fundamentals are awesome but that seems priced in ; Long term estimates show a 9.86% average annual share price increase going forward; I look for at least 16% long term average growth, which is double the general market rate.
Long Term Outlook: Positive
by David Randolph.
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- TYL analysis (2007-01-08)
- TYL had a nice run over the last 18 months
- It has been weak lately and fundamental analysis says it looks overvalued, with lower than average growth rates and margins and higher than average revenue and earnings multiples.
Outlook: Short term negative, long term positive but not much growth potential.
by David Randolph.
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- QCC analysis (2007-01-08)
- Long term technical trend is bullish. Important resistance at $3.03.
- I don't know what this company does:
- The balance sheet is odd;
- The share count is rising a lot;
- Gross margin is 80%, net margin is 70%;
- QCC is a strange stock, I don't know what to think of it.
Outlook: Neutral
by David Randolph.
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- HANS analysis (2007-01-08)
- Technical analysis says HANS is stuck in a trading range
- Long term fundamental trends are outstanding. Net profit margin of 18% is awesome.
- Great stock but looks fairly valued now. Would consider it on a dip to the lower end of the trading range.
Long Term Outlook: Positive
by David Randolph.
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- BBC analysis (2007-01-06)
Technical analysis is bearish, Numbers, especially the net profit margin, looks too good to be true; Revenue numbers are probably real, the stock can be more safe at a below average revenue multiple, say around $3 by David Randolph.
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- STEC analysis (2007-01-05)
A Neutral Outlook, important support @ $11.04, If current trends are maintained STEC is long term attractive. by David Randolph.
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- MSI Analysis (2007-01-04)
This is an interesting reverse-merger/new IPO situation that I'll need to study more carefully. I'll do that in a new thread, MSI has passed to the second phase of the new buying process. by David Randolph.
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- FORG analysis (2007-01-03)
Negative Outlook on FORG after a Technical and Fundamental overview. by David Randolph.
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- GGC analysis (2007-01-03)
Positive Outlook on GGC after a Technical and Fundamental Overview. by David Randolph.
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- FNSR Analysis (2007-01-03)
Negative Outlook for FNSR after Technical and Fundamental overview. by David Randolph.
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